Vote Counting Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

$15k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

68%

Yes

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$13k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$1.2m Vol.
$180k Liq.
14
Ends in 12 days

35%

Tisza 9%+

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$7k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

25%

Keiko Fujimori <5%

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

$18k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ended

98%

Stratton 6–9%

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

$39k Vol.
$75k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

35%

Paxton 9%+

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$206k Vol.
$72k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months

40%

Lula da Silva <5%

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

What will Cuomo say during his victory/concession speech?

Thank you 5+ times

What will Mamdani say during his victory speech?

What will Mamdani say during his victory speech?

$334k Vol.
$0 Liq.
90
Ended

New York / New Yorker 10+ times

What will Donald Trump post this week? (February 23 - March 1)

President DJT

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

<125

# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

400-424

Reform share of votes in UK election?

Reform share of votes in UK election?

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

11-15%

Ecuador Presidential Election

Ecuador Presidential Election

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
Ended

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

Nevada Margin of Victory

Nevada Margin of Victory

$59.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended

Trump by 3.0-4.0%

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

$113k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

30-35%

California Senate Primary Margin of Victory

All

California Senate Primary Margin of Victory

$271k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Schiff wins

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (0-125)

100-124

Arizona Margin of Victory

Arizona Margin of Victory

$484k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Trump by 4.0%+