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2024 Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 133 markets

AllPoliticsRepublicansTrumpElectionsUnited StatesPrimariesDemocratsElon MuskCelebritiesCaliforniaCongressPrimary ElectionsDemocratic PrimaryRepublican PrimaryUS ElectionAocMarjorie Taylor GreeneMichigan PrimaryGlobal ElectionsKamalaAlexandria Ocasio CortezTulsi GabbardICEMidtermsEarn 4%PresidentMTGGretchen WhitmerNominateHouse PrimaryAlabama PrimaryGeorgia PrimaryIowa PrimaryNew York PrimaryOhio PrimaryPennsylvania PrimarySouth Dakota Primary
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Elections·World Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$964.6m Vol.
$37.5m Liq.
🔥$7.1m today
630
Ends in over 2 years

25%

Gavin Newsom

R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics·US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$508.2m Vol.
$28.2m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
332
Ends in over 2 years

49%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

W
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Politics·US Election

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

$76k Vol.
$11k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Politics·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

$13k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Politics·Celebrities

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$381k Vol.
$664k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

51%

Gretchen Whitmer

W
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Elections·Trump

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

7%

Yes

W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Elections·MTG

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

$473 Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years

14%

Yes

W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Politics·democrats

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

$177 Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years

23%

Yes

H
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

Politics·Congress

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

$22k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 5 months

31%

24–27

H
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

Elections·Congress

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

$67k Vol.
$111k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months

57%

7

H
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

Politics·US Election

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

$50k Vol.
$81k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months

49%

40–43

P
PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Elections·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

$8k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

69%

Bob Brooks

T
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Elections·New York Primary

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

$5k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months

57%

Steve Cohen

I
IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elections·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

$6k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

36%

Kathy Dolter

M
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Politics·Primaries

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

$40k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

70%

Eric Chung

G
GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Elections·Georgia Primary

GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner

$6k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

36%

Jasmine Clark

A
AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Politics·Primaries

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

$37k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

43%

Jerry Carl

P
PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Elections·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

$13k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

90%

Janelle Stelson

S
SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner

Elections·South Dakota Primary

SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner

$5k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

64%

Nikki Gronli

O
OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Politics·US Election

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

80%

Eric Conroy