Aerospace Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

SpaceX Starship launch by March 15?

SpaceX · starship

SpaceX Starship launch by March 15?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

Science · Boeing

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?

Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

Will the Firefly Lander Successfully Land on the Moon on Sunday?

Space · Firefly

Will the Firefly Lander Successfully Land on the Moon on Sunday?

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Science · outer space

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?

Space · Science

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10

$776k Vol.
$0 Liq.
189
Ended

August 31

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11

$136k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

October 31

SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Science · SpaceX

SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

$572 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

$157k Vol.
$0 Liq.
73
Ended

<$1b / No token in 2024

$SAFE Market Cap (FDV) one week after launch?

$SAFE Market Cap (FDV) one week after launch?

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

$1-2b

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

SpaceX · Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

$441k Vol.
$0 Liq.
53
Ended

Super Heavy explodes?

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

Business · Twitter

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

$573k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended

60-79

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

$519k Vol.
$0 Liq.
69
Ended

Launch before March 15?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended

75-84

Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?

SpaceX · outer space

Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

December 31

Lighter airdrop by...?

Lighter airdrop by...?

$26.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,555

December 31

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

$487k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

<60

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$106.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,157
Ended

>$2B

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

$152k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended

September 15