Assad Predictions & Odds· 124 markets
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
$56k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
Israel strike on Damascus by...?
$167k Vol.
$7k Liq.
32
Ends in about 5 hours
$167k Vol.$7k Liq.32Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$708k Vol.
$40k Liq.
117
Ends in about 1 month
$708k Vol.$40k Liq.117Ends in about 1 month
37%
May 31
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
$419k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$419k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
22%
June 30
Yes
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
$2.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
943
Ended
$2.4m Vol.$0 Liq.943Ended
No
No
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
$8.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,707
Ended
$8.1m Vol.$0 Liq.1,707Ended
No
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
$2.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,707
Ended
$2.5m Vol.$0 Liq.1,707Ended
No
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023?
$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
$25k Vol.$0 Liq.1
Yes
Yes
