Assocaited Press Predictions & Odds· 240 markets
H
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$229 Vol.
$569 Liq.
$229 Vol.$569 Liq.
72%
4-6
H
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$40k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
$40k Vol.$2k Liq.1
40%
7-9
H
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.1
82%
0
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$2.1m Vol.
$184k Liq.
10
$2.1m Vol.$184k Liq.10
27%
≤47
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.4m Vol.
$559k Liq.
150
Ends in 7 months
$4.4m Vol.$559k Liq.150Ends in 7 months
51%
Democrats Sweep
H
51%
2
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$111k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$111k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
35%
Below 190
W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$10k Vol.
$44k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$10k Vol.$44k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes
W
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$592k Vol.
$44k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$592k Vol.$44k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
36%
22–23
A
Arizona Governor Election Winner
$37k Vol.
$45k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$37k Vol.$45k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
77%
Democrat
A
93%
Republican
A
94%
Republican
C
93%
Democrat
C
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
$3k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$3k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
93%
Democrat
N
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
$4k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 7 months
71%
Republican
M
Maryland Governor Election Winner
$15k Vol.
$44k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$15k Vol.$44k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
94%
Democrat
F
Florida Governor Election Winner
$11k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$11k Vol.$55k Liq.Ends in 7 months
72%
Republican
M
90%
Democrat