Asteroid Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$237k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
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No
Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$78k Vol.
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11
Ended
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Yes
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$85k Vol.
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2
Ended
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No
The Wizard of Oz at Sphere
"Not Like Us" – Kendrick Lamar
Science · outer space
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?
$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
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Yes
Science · Boeing
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?
$23k Vol.
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8
Ended
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No
<$1b / No token in 2024
Space · Science
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?
$21k Vol.
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2
Ended
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No
Yes
Business · Twitter
# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?
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34
Ended
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60-79
75-84
