Big Beautiful Bill Predictions & Odds· 178 markets

Which senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

Mitch McConnell

How many votes will Reconciliation bill get in the House?

217–218

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

$274k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

July 1-6

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
275
Ended

July 4

When will Trump sign the Big Beautiful Bill into Law?

July 4

Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

July 4

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

$321k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

End Tax on Tips

Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?

Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes

Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

Trump signs bill cutting Medicare before July?

Trump signs bill cutting Medicare before July?

$98k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?

Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?

$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

Trump ends taxes on tips before August?

Trump ends taxes on tips before August?

$198k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

Yes

Trump cuts taxes in 2025?

Trump cuts taxes in 2025?

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Yes

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?

$210k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No