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Reconciliation Predictions & Odds· 132 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoTrumpElon MuskCongressCrypto PricesTechSenateTaxesTrump PresidencyXRPHouseRippleRecurringUp Or DownBig Beautiful BillTrump Vs ElonMake UpReconciliationJuly 415M4H
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?

Politics·Elon Musk

Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?

$372k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended

No

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

All

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

$47k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Which senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

Politics·Big Beautiful Bill

Which senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Mitch McConnell

Will 51+ senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

Politics·Congress

Will 51+ senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

How many votes will Reconciliation bill get in the House?

Politics·Big Beautiful Bill

How many votes will Reconciliation bill get in the House?

$110k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

217–218

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

Politics·Big Beautiful Bill

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

$274k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

July 1-6

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

Politics·Senate

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
275
Ended

July 4

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Politics·Trump vs Elon

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

$321k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

End Tax on Tips

When will Trump sign the Big Beautiful Bill into Law?

Politics·Trump Presidency

When will Trump sign the Big Beautiful Bill into Law?

$135k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

July 4

Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

July 4

Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

Politics·Trump

Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Politics·make up

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

$477k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended

No

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Politics·Breaking News

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
356
Ended

No

Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?

Politics·Taxes

Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes

Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

Politics·Big Beautiful Bill

Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

Politics·make up

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

XRP Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

XRP Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

$767 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

XRP Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

XRP Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

$768 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

XRP Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

XRP Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

$152 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down