Reconciliation Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$357k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$357k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
2%
Yes
31%
Yes
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 8 days
32%
160-179
85%
Nothing
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$148 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$148 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$11k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$19k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$289k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$289k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
71%
Nothing