Border Security Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

16%
June 30

30%
June 30

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ended
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ended
2%
Yes

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$894 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$894 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes

24%
Isfahan nuclear facility

46%
Yes

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$316k Liq.
🔥$135k today
123
Ended
$2.3m Vol.🔥$135k today$316k Liq.123Ended
31%
April 30

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
$97k Vol.
$49k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$97k Vol.$49k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$18k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes

US forces enter Iran by..?
$57.0m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
5,439
$57.0m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$1.0m Liq.5,439
73%
December 31

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$944k Vol.
$55k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$944k Vol.$55k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes

25%
Yes

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.3m Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30



