Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.6m Vol.
$162k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

46%

Pam Bondi

U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

$108k Vol.
$2k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months

71%

Yes

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$23.1m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$139k today
829
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

79%

Social Democrats (SD)

W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

$409k Vol.
$121k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

63%

Kristi Noem

W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

97%

Moderates

L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

$315k Vol.
$21k Liq.
111
Ends in 9 months

37%

December 31, 2026

U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

W
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?

Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?

$2k Vol.
$346 Liq.
Ends in 27 days

4%

Yes

J
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?

$257 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

45%

0.0–0.2%

W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

$73k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

3%

Yes

P
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?

$167k Vol.
$4k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

78%

December 31

H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

$933 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

$696 Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

$5k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

23%

Yes

T
Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

$414k Vol.
$189k Liq.
🔥$128k today
Ends in 27 days

1%

Yes

T
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

$5.6m Vol.
$625k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

T
Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

$2.0m Vol.
$769k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes