California Primary Predictions & Odds· 282 markets
95%
Mike Thompson
98%
Ro Khanna
95%
David Valadao
Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
$330k Vol.
$41k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 months
$330k Vol.$41k Liq.4Ends in 2 months
65%
Scott Wiener
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$379k Vol.
$345k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$379k Vol.$345k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$33k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
66%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$50k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$50k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
$772k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$772k Vol.$109k Liq.Ends in 2 months
42%
Karen Bass
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$13k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$13k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$137k Vol.
$18k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$137k Vol.$18k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
86%
Pennsylvania
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
$76k Vol.
$10k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$10k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
94%
Democratic Party
93%
Democratic Party
93%
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
89%
Democratic Party
80%
Democratic Party