Castro Predictions & Odds· 110 markets
34%
Yes
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
$36k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$36k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
Colombia Presidential Election
$8.9m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$156k today
357
Ends in 3 months
$8.9m Vol.🔥$156k today$1.1m Liq.357Ends in 3 months
50%
Candidate M
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
$1.8m Vol.
$224k Liq.
🔥$53k today
5
Ends in 2 months
$1.8m Vol.🔥$53k today$224k Liq.5Ends in 2 months
74%
Iván Cepeda Castro
GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$6k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
96%
Nikema Williams
Serie A · Sports
Serie A - Top Goalscorer
$60k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$60k Vol.$54k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
79%
Lautaro Martinez
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$902k Vol.
$48k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
$902k Vol.$48k Liq.47Ends in 3 months
59%
December 31
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$20k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$20k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
$207k Vol.
$19k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$207k Vol.$19k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
38%
Yes
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
$1.2m Vol.
$99k Liq.
42
Ends in 9 months
$1.2m Vol.$99k Liq.42Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
$543k Vol.
$94k Liq.
97
Ends in 19 days
$543k Vol.$94k Liq.97Ends in 19 days
46%
Juan Pablo Velasco
38%
December 31
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$193k Vol.
$33k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$193k Vol.$33k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%
27%
Yes
68%
55-60%
50%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $4