Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$5k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$474 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$474 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$956 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$956 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$13k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
3%
Yes
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$815 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$815 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 15 days
86%
April 15
8%
Yes
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 15 days
77%
April 15
82%
December 31, 2026
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$15k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
99%
ChatGPT
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$5k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
96%
Claude by Anthropic
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 9 months
61%
↑ 1550
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$58k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$116k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.0m Vol.$116k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$801k Vol.
$144k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$801k Vol.🔥$159k today$144k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
84%
Anthropic
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$79k Liq.
🔥$77k today
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$77k today$79k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$543k Vol.
$73k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$543k Vol.$73k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$178k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$178k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic