Anthropic Predictions & Odds· 168 markets
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
90%
Yes
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$1k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$905k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$905k Vol.$99k Liq.Ends in 3 months
96%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$93k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
76%
600B+
Claude Mythos released by…?
$38k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$38k Vol.$22k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$33k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$9k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
9-11
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$894 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
78%
April 15
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$43k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$43k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
19%
Yes
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
94%
35%+
13%
Yes
3%
Yes
22%
December 31, 2026
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$60k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$60k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30, 2026
48%
June 30
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.8m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$280k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$15.8m Vol.🔥$280k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$74k Liq.
🔥$199k today
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$199k today$74k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
30%
OpenAI
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$798k Vol.
$151k Liq.
🔥$158k today
Ends in about 1 month
$798k Vol.🔥$158k today$151k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
84%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$451k Liq.
🔥$85k today
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.🔥$85k today$451k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
90%
Anthropic