Claude 5 Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$60k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$60k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30, 2026
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
94%
35%+
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$1k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$170k Liq.
20
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.1m Vol.$170k Liq.20Ends in about 16 hours
99%
OpenAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$93k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
76%
600B+
13%
Yes
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
90%
Yes
48%
June 30
Claude Mythos released by…?
$38k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$38k Vol.$22k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$9k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
9-11
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
21
Ends in about 16 hours
$9k Vol.$5k Liq.21Ends in about 16 hours
18%
Yes
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B
$0 Vol.
$174 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$174 Liq.Ends in 4 days
64%
Nemiga
counter strike 2 · Sports
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?
$43k Vol.
$180 Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$43k Vol.$180 Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
49%
Yes
Sports · Games
WTT - Men's Singles: Dimitrij Ovtcharov vs Anders Lind
$26 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$26 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Lind
Esports · league of legends
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 4 days
14%
Apex Mission Impossible
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ReThink (BO3) - De_Airport Masters Playoffs
$564 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$564 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Acend
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffs
$45 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$45 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
36%
9z
48%
Yes