Claude 5 Predictions & Odds· 139 markets

Claude 5 released on...?

Claude 5 released on...?

$663k Vol.
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5
Ended

No release by February 28

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

Anthropic

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

$22.5m Vol.
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Anthropic

Claude 4 released in May?

Claude 4 released in May?

$46k Vol.
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5
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Yes

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

$239k Vol.
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OpenAI

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

$1.0m Vol.
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Alibaba

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

$23k Vol.
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Ends in about 15 hours

11+

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

$350k Vol.
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72

Unknown

What will Trump say this week? (March 22)

What will Trump say this week? (March 22)

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Medal of Honor

What will be said during the Oscars?

What will be said during the Oscars?

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President

What will Sam Altman say during TBPN on October 10?

What will Sam Altman say during TBPN on October 10?

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GPT 7+ times

What will Bernie Sanders say during No Kings rally on March 28?

King 5+ times

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$10k Vol.
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Ends in about 15 hours

March 31

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

ChatGPT

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Claude by Anthropic