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Grok Predictions & Odds· 230 markets

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Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

sam altman · Grok

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Tech·Elon Musk

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$663k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

February 17

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Tech·Big Tech

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$220k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No release by February 14

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Tech·AI

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$786k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No release by January 31

Grok 4.20 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 4.20 released by...?

$844k Vol.
$0 Liq.
192

April 20

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

Tech·Grok

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?

Tech·AI

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

No

Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?

Tech·Breaking News

Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?

$102k Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended

No

Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?

Tech·Grok

Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?

AI · Business

Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?

$61k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

Bikinis back on X by January 16?

Tech·X

Bikinis back on X by January 16?

$70k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended

No

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?

Tech·AI

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1

xAI

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

Tech·AI

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

$350k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72

Unknown

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

Tech·AI

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

$239k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

OpenAI

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Tech·Business

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
87
Ended

Alibaba

Tech Release Parlay

Tech·Grokipedia

Tech Release Parlay

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Grokipedia released by...?

Tech·Elon Musk

Grokipedia released by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
451
Ended

December 31

Next CEO of X?

Tech·Elon Musk

Next CEO of X?

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended

No CEO announced in 2025

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

Tech·Big Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

$682k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Google

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

Tech·Grok

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

$399k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Google