Claude Predictions & Odds· 195 markets

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

$23k Vol.
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Ends in about 16 hours

11+

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

$10k Vol.
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Ends in about 16 hours

March 31

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

March 10

Claude 5 released on...?

Claude 5 released on...?

$663k Vol.
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5
Ended

No release by February 28

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

$2.3m Vol.
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203
Ends in about 16 hours

Yes

Claude 4 released in May?

Claude 4 released in May?

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?

Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

What will Bernie Sanders say during No Kings rally on March 28?

King 5+ times

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

ChatGPT

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Claude by Anthropic

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Claude by Anthropic

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

NCAA March Madness Live

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

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