Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 114 markets
C
66%
April 17
O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
41%
60%+
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$800 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$800 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes
C
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$7k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 13 days
87%
April 15
C
6%
Yes
B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 13 days
85%
April 15
G
83%
December 31, 2026
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$14k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$14k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
99%
ChatGPT
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$10k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
97%
Claude by Anthropic
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
C
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$67k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$67k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
↑ 1550
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$71k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$71k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$15k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$15k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in 28 days
85%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$853k Vol.
$153k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$853k Vol.$153k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Anthropic
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$61k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$61k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$926k Vol.
$174k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$926k Vol.$174k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
51%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$9k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$9k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 28 days
50%
W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$335k Vol.
$107k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$335k Vol.$107k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
51%
Anthropic