China Predictions & Odds· 182 markets

Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.0m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
427
Ends in about 1 month
$18.0m Vol.🔥$3.3m today$4.4m Liq.427Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
$10.6m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$138k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$10.6m Vol.🔥$138k today$3.9m Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$95k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in 3 months
$1.9m Vol.🔥$62k today$95k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$53k Liq.
28
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.2m Vol.$53k Liq.28Ends in about 14 hours
98%
5–15%

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$80k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$107k Vol.
$182k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$107k Vol.$182k Liq.Ends in 6 months
7%
Yes

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$932k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$932k Vol.$74k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes

China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$515k Vol.
$69k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$515k Vol.$69k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$15k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$195k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$58k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
$734k Vol.
$38k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$734k Vol.$38k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes

China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$152k Vol.
$214k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$152k Vol.$214k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
21%
Yes

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
$116k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours
$116k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$3k Liq.16Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

25%
-0.4 – 0.0%

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.3m Vol.
$152k Liq.
132
Ends in about 14 hours
$3.3m Vol.$152k Liq.132Ends in about 14 hours
2%
Brazil
