City Council Predictions & Odds· 309 markets

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$41k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$41k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
$772k Vol.
$143k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$772k Vol.$143k Liq.Ends in 2 months
43%
Karen Bass

45%
Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$22k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
28%
Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$26k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$26k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

Sports · Games
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals
$0 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$0 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 13 days
39%
Milwaukee Brewers

NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$16k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
60%
20-39

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$879 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$879 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
20-39

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
$139k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$139k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
12%
April 30

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$9.0m Vol.
$697k Liq.
🔥$882k today
16
Ends in 2 months
$9.0m Vol.🔥$882k today$697k Liq.16Ends in 2 months
80%
Chong Won-oh

NYC Mayor # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$20k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
75%
20-39

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?
$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$1k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes

Sports · Games
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC
$26 Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$26 Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 13 days
44%
Manchester City FC

89%
Democratic Party

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes

93%
Democratic Party