City Council Predictions & Odds· 309 markets

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

42%
Karen Bass

45%
Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
28%
Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$15k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$15k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$16k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
60%
20-39

Sports · Games
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals
$0 Vol.
$201 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$0 Vol.$201 Liq.Ends in 13 days
37%
Milwaukee Brewers

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$810 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$810 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
20-39

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$139k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
12%
April 30

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$8.8m Vol.
$611k Liq.
🔥$690k today
16
Ends in 2 months
$8.8m Vol.🔥$690k today$611k Liq.16Ends in 2 months
80%
Chong Won-oh

NYC Mayor # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$18k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 1 day
68%
20-39

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?
$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$1k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes

89%
Democratic Party

Sports · Games
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC
$2 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$2 Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 13 days
45%
Manchester City FC

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

93%
Democratic Party

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner
$2.1m Vol.
$133k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$2.1m Vol.$133k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
96%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)