Climate Predictions & Odds· 274 markets

70°F in NYC in December?

climate · Science

70°F in NYC in December?

$94k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended

No

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Weather · climate

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

$129k Vol.
$14 Liq.
Ended

19+

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

nyc · Weather

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

<3.5

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November?

Science · Hurricanes

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November?

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)

Weather · Science

Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)

$668k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended

Yes

How many Tornadoes in the US in December?

How many Tornadoes in the US in December?

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

<30

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

$610k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

1550–1599

How many Tornadoes in the US in November?

How many Tornadoes in the US in November?

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

<20

November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather · Global Temp

November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$978k Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ended

1.20–1.24ºC

How many named typhoons in Northwest Pacific in 2025?

How many named typhoons in Northwest Pacific in 2025?

$33k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

27

What category will Storm Melissa reach?

hurricane · Science

What category will Storm Melissa reach?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

1

Melissa US landfall at what category?

Hurricanes · Weather

Melissa US landfall at what category?

$132k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

≤1

October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather · Science

October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$322k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

1.20–1.24ºC

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

Yes

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?

climate · hurricane

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

September 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

climate · Global Temp

September 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$2.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
55
Ended

>1.19

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?

climate · Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by August 31?

Weather · climate

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by August 31?

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

2025 August third hottest on record?

Weather · global warming

2025 August third hottest on record?

$198k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes

2025 August second hottest on record?

global warming · Weather

2025 August second hottest on record?

$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No