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Climate 预测与赔率· 147 个市场

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate & Science·climate

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$309k 交易量

$9k 流动性

6

9 个月后结束

39%

Yes

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate & Science·climate

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$11k 交易量

$3k 流动性

2 个月后结束

7%

Yes

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$326k 交易量

$2k 流动性

2 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Weather · climate

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

$34k 交易量

$16k 流动性

2

1 天后结束

95%

14.2-14.4m sq km

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$189k 交易量

$17k 流动性

6

9 个月后结束

30%

Yes

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量

$19k 流动性

8

大约 1 年后结束

12%

Yes

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Weather · climate

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

$28k 交易量

$4k 流动性

6

6 个月后结束

39%

<4m sq km

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$3.9m 交易量

$188k 流动性

🔥$120k 今日

170

将近 2 年后结束

62%

Other

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

$2.9m 交易量

$225k 流动性

🔥$58k 今日

43

将近 2 年后结束

94%

1T+

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Climate & Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量

$33k 流动性

9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m 交易量

$97k 流动性

16

将近 2 年后结束

42%

Bank of America

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$697k 交易量

$26k 流动性

94

大约 13 小时后结束

83%

April 30

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量

$33k 流动性

9 个月后结束

28%

11–13

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Climate & Science·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$386k 交易量

$21k 流动性

大约 13 小时后结束

1%

1600

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Earthquakes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量

$23k 流动性

9

大约 1 年后结束

43%

1

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

$196k 交易量

$30k 流动性

9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Climate & Science·Precipitation

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$321k 交易量

$14k 流动性

大约 13 小时后结束

94%

5-6"

Precipitation in NYC in March?

Climate & Science·Weather

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$172k 交易量

$10k 流动性

大约 13 小时后结束

91%

3-4"

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Climate & Science·SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$348k 交易量

$26k 流动性

9 个月后结束

36%

5-6

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$649k 交易量

$93k 流动性

8

将近 2 年后结束

46%

2.0T+