Conflict Predictions & Odds· 119 markets
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$54k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$54k Vol.$9k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
30%
Yes
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.6m Vol.
$466k Liq.
🔥$279k today
327
Ends in about 11 hours
$8.6m Vol.🔥$279k today$466k Liq.327Ends in about 11 hours
79%
December 31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 11 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,363Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$241k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$241k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$152k Liq.
132
Ends in about 11 hours
$3.4m Vol.$152k Liq.132Ends in about 11 hours
2%
India
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$353k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$353k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$92k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
16%
Yes
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (April 5)
$894 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$894 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
86%
Trump
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$22k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$22k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$22k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$27k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$27k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
$462k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$462k Vol.$15k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$118k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$118k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes