Country Policies Predictions & Odds· 151 markets
W
Will any country leave NATO by...?
$606k Vol.
$132k Liq.
🔥$160k today
22
Ends in 9 months
$606k Vol.🔥$160k today$132k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31, 2026
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$87k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$87k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
$674 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$674 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$195k Vol.
$35k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$35k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
$402 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$402 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
W
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
$52k Vol.
$25k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$25k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
X
X banned in any European country by December 31?
$250 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$250 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$156 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$156 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
W
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
$141 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$141 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
W
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
$29k Vol.
$2k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$2k Liq.25Ends in 9 months
59%
June 30, 2026
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$356k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$356k Vol.$71k Liq.Ends in 9 months
27%
Kuwait
A
Politics · Geopolitics
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
$109k Vol.
$30k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$109k Vol.$30k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
W
Politics · Geopolitics
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
W
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$717k Vol.
$296k Liq.
🔥$123k today
Ends in 28 days
$717k Vol.🔥$123k today$296k Liq.Ends in 28 days
14%
UAE
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$490k Vol.
$192k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$490k Vol.$192k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
42%
No Meeting by June 30
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$6.3m Vol.
$173k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$6.3m Vol.$173k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
35%
4
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$722k Vol.
$89k Liq.
45
Ends in 9 months
$722k Vol.$89k Liq.45Ends in 9 months
30%
7
I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$4.0m Vol.
$774k Liq.
🔥$244k today
Ended
$4.0m Vol.🔥$244k today$774k Liq.Ended
100%
Bahrain