Country Policies Predictions & Odds· 151 markets

W
Will any country leave NATO by...?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$606k Vol.
$132k Liq.
🔥$165k today
22
Ends in 9 months

14%

December 31, 2026

W
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$3.7m Vol.
$66k Liq.
56
Ended

4%

Yes

E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

$87k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

December 31

W
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

$674 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$195k Vol.
$35k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

$316 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

19%

Yes

W
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

$52k Vol.
$24k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

X
X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

$250 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

W
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

$141 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

$114 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

23%

Yes

W
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

$29k Vol.
$2k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months

57%

June 30, 2026

W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

$356k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

27%

Kuwait

A
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Politics · Geopolitics

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$109k Vol.
$30k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

W
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Politics · Geopolitics

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

W
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

$717k Vol.
$296k Liq.
🔥$126k today
Ends in 28 days

14%

UAE

W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$490k Vol.
$189k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months

42%

No Meeting by June 30

H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

$6.3m Vol.
$173k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months

35%

4

H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

$722k Vol.
$90k Liq.
45
Ends in 9 months

30%

7

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$4.0m Vol.
$774k Liq.
🔥$245k today
Ended

100%

Bahrain