Country Policies Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k Vol.
$893 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

61%

December 31, 2026

E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

X
X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

$250 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$1.3m Vol.
$170k Liq.
🔥$59k today
Ends in 10 days

44%

Tisza 9%+

#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

$21k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

41%

3

B
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

$20k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 17 days

45%

PB 5-10%

#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$21k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

55%

10+

H
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

$36k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

28%

40-44%

H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

$2k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

44%

Tisza <9%

B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$15k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 17 days

78%

PP–DB

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

25%

April 30

P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$8k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

47%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

S
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

$2k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

89%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

W
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?

$338k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

R
Romania Parliamentary Election

Romania Parliamentary Election

$3.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
742
Ended

PSD

E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Ecuador Presidential Election

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
Ended

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

T
Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

$3.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
168
Ended

Lai Ching-te (賴清德)

G
Ghana Presidential Election

Ghana Presidential Election

$348k Vol.
$0 Liq.
43
Ended

John Mahama

C
Croatia Presidential Election

Croatia Presidential Election

$5.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended

Zoran Milanović

T
Trump travel ban removed before July?

Trump travel ban removed before July?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No