Taiwan Election Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$59k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$59k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$10k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$117k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
$3k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
57%
DISY
Politics · World
Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner
$1.6m Vol.
$130k Liq.
🔥$237k today
12
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$237k today$130k Liq.12Ends in about 1 month
96%
Scottish National Party
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$107k Vol.
$140k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$107k Vol.$140k Liq.Ends in 6 months
7%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$152k Vol.
$211k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$152k Vol.$211k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
21%
Yes
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.9m Vol.$96k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
$10.6m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$118k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$10.6m Vol.🔥$118k today$3.9m Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$31k Vol.
$54k Liq.
1
Ends in 13 days
$31k Vol.$54k Liq.1Ends in 13 days
30%
50-54%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$43k Vol.
$23k Liq.
57
Ended
$43k Vol.$23k Liq.57Ended
54%
59-60%
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$31k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$31k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 13 days
36%
40-44%
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)?
$849k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$849k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yu-ih
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?
$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$37k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No
Lai Ching-te (賴清德)
World · Elections
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?
$374k Vol.
$0 Liq.
56
Ended
$374k Vol.$0 Liq.56Ended
No