Dario Amodei Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
3%
Yes
Who will Trump meet with in March?
$265k Vol.
$129k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$265k Vol.$129k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
5%
Reza Pahlavi
NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$16k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
60%
20-39
NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$879 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$879 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
20-39
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 4 days
88%
<20
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$78k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$78k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%
Jensen Huang
Who makes TIME’s 2025 Person of the Year Shortlist?
$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
129
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$0 Liq.129Ended
Bad Bunny
Dario / Amodei
AI 5+ times
Simion
>16%
Switzerland
120-139