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Debt Predictions & Odds· 159 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessTrumpU.S. PoliticsChinaUS GovernmentGovernmentCongressReal EstateFranceGlobal ElectionsEconomyCreatorsTrump PresidencyHouseAll InParlaysGov ShutdownDebt Ceiling2025 PredictionsMacronDebtEconomic PolicyWorldBig Beautiful BillTrump Vs Elon
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Economy·Creators

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

$656k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

Politics·us government

Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

$345k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No

Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

$492k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

All

Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?

All

Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

All

Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
US debt ceiling hike by...?

All

US debt ceiling hike by...?

$497k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

July 1

Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?

Business · China

Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US defaults on debt in 2025?

Politics·us government

US defaults on debt in 2025?

$138k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Peak US National Debt this year?

Politics·Trump vs Elon

Peak US National Debt this year?

$131k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

$37 trillion

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

All

Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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Yes

Another France debt downgrade by December 31?

Economy·France

Another France debt downgrade by December 31?

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended

Yes

France debt downgrade by December 31?

Economy·France

France debt downgrade by December 31?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended

Yes

Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

Politics · Economy

Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

$97k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US debt downgrade in 2025?

Economy · Politics

US debt downgrade in 2025?

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

Yes

Biden v. Nebraska: Student Loan Forgiveness

All

Biden v. Nebraska: Student Loan Forgiveness

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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No

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

All

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

$47k Vol.
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Ended
Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition

Economy·France

Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No