Government Predictions & Odds· 4103 markets

US defaults on debt in 2025?

US defaults on debt in 2025?

$138k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Trump be Speaker by April 1?

Will Trump be Speaker by April 1?

$778k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15?

Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15?

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

Was @SECGov really hacked?

sec · hacking

Was @SECGov really hacked?

$258k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

Yes

Another House member censured by Nov 30?

No

Senate control after 2024 election?

Senate control after 2024 election?

$3.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
41
Ended

Republicans

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign in April?

30+

Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?

No

Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended

No

Dutch government formed before June?

Dutch government formed before June?

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

US government shutdown by Mar 9?

US government shutdown by Mar 9?

$388k Vol.
$0 Liq.
134
Ended

Yes

New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021?

All

New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021?

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?

All

Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?

$296k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

5+ days

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Government shutdown on Saturday?

$13.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Senate Democratic votes for government funding bill?

Senate Democratic votes for government funding bill?

$102k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

>10

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

$23.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

2+ days

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
105
Ended

Yes