Government Predictions & Odds· 1808 markets
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$29k Vol.
$30k Liq.
3
Ended
$29k Vol.$30k Liq.3Ended
98%
Moderates
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$98k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ended
$98k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ended
87%
Democrats (D)
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$21k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$21k Liq.12Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
N
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31, 2026
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$77k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$77k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
51%
Palantir
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$32k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$32k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$60.9m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$5.3m today
3
Ended
$60.9m Vol.🔥$5.3m today$2.3m Liq.3Ended
0%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$65.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$3.7m today
1,280
$65.7m Vol.🔥$3.7m today$1.5m Liq.1,280
74%
December 31
N
Netanyahu out by...?
$91.0m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
34
Ends in 9 months
$91.0m Vol.🔥$3.3m today$4.0m Liq.34Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$51.0m Vol.
$765k Liq.
🔥$1.8m today
106
Ends in 12 days
$51.0m Vol.🔥$1.8m today$765k Liq.106Ends in 12 days
67%
TISZA
N
Next French Presidential Election
$24.6m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
356
Ends in about 1 year
$24.6m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$2.5m Liq.356Ends in about 1 year
30%
Édouard Philippe
B
Brazil Presidential Election
$34.5m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
3,709
Ends in 6 months
$34.5m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$2.2m Liq.3,709Ends in 6 months
42%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
2
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$9.4m Vol.
$604k Liq.
🔥$872k today
18
Ends in 2 months
$9.4m Vol.🔥$872k today$604k Liq.18Ends in 2 months
78%
Chong Won-oh
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$23.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$836k today
4
Ends in 3 months
$23.2m Vol.🔥$836k today$1.5m Liq.4Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
W
Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.7m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$796k today
426
Ends in 30 days
$18.7m Vol.🔥$796k today$3.4m Liq.426Ends in 30 days
81%
June 30
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$658k today
4
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$658k today$164k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
39%
4
N
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.8m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$609k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.8m Vol.🔥$609k today$1.8m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.3m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$547k today
1
Ends in 30 days
$13.3m Vol.🔥$547k today$1.5m Liq.1Ends in 30 days
7%
Yes