Iraq Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?
$375k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$375k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
20%
April 30

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$179k Liq.
🔥$375k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$375k today$179k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
96%
Bahrain

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$361k Vol.
$201k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$361k Vol.$201k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
57%
Pakistan

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$161k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$161k Vol.$121k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait

Sports · Soccer
2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?
$1.5m Vol.
$137k Liq.
56
Ends in 13 days
$1.5m Vol.$137k Liq.56Ends in 13 days
78%
Italy

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$89k Vol.
$56k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$89k Vol.$56k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Tunisia

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$97k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$97k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
22%
April 10

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30

47%
Yes

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$61k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$61k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
98%
March 28

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30

Israel false flag attack confirmed?
$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1 Vol.$141 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Yes

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$18k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5

US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30