Derivatives Predictions & Odds· 150 markets

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

$809k Vol.
$0 Liq.
63
Ended

>50%

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?

Yes

Odds US strikes Iran in Feb over __ on Friday?

Odds US strikes Iran in Feb over __ on Friday?

$141k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

>20%

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

No

Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?

Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

No

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

$563k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended

>20%

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

$767k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended

Yes

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?

No change

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

>50%

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

$226k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

No

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

$513k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended

No

Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?

No