Fed Rates Predictions & Odds

Politics·Jerome Powell

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

$2.0m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

>5%

Politics·Derivatives

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

$67k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No

Politics·Fed

Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?

$20k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

Yes

Politics·Fed

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

1

Economy·Fed Rates

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

$18k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

No

Economy·fomc

Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

4

Ended

Yes

Economy·Fed Rates

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

$134k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No

Economy·Derivatives

March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?

$10k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

No change

Finance·Fed Rates

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

4

Ended

Yes

Economy·Fed

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$104k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

2

Politics·Derivatives

'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?

$25k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No change

Economy·Derivatives

Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" Odds on December 10?

$40k Vol.

$0 Liq.

7

Ended

>20%

Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?

$10k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

↓ 80%

Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?

$66k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

25bps cut

Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?

$55k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

No

Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on Friday?

$21k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

25bps cut

Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

$368k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

25bps cut

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

$426k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

Cut–Pause–Pause

Finance·Jerome Powell

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$232k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

3

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed decision in March?

$260.1m Vol.

$0 Liq.

418

Ended

No change

Fed Rates Predictions & Odds· 241 markets

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

March Fed Derivative: Pause or Cut favored on Jan 28?

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?

Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" Odds on December 10?

Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?

Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on Friday?

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Fed decision in March?

Sort by

Event Status

Sort by

Event Status