Gavin Newsom Predictions & Odds· 164 markets
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 7 months
21%
Yes
W
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
$76k Vol.
$16k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$16k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$966.3m Vol.
$39.3m Liq.
🔥$7.8m today
630
Ends in over 2 years
$966.3m Vol.🔥$7.8m today$39.3m Liq.630Ends in over 2 years
25%
Gavin Newsom
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$483.8m Vol.
$29.0m Liq.
🔥$2.3m today
809
Ends in over 2 years
$483.8m Vol.🔥$2.3m today$29.0m Liq.809Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$412k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$412k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$382k Vol.
$910k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$382k Vol.$910k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
51%
Gretchen Whitmer
P
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$46k Vol.
$47k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$46k Vol.$47k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
72%
Dem-Rep
W
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$422k Vol.
$389k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$422k Vol.$389k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
64%
Eric Swalwell
C
California Governor Election Winner
$8.2m Vol.
$789k Liq.
19
Ends in 7 months
$8.2m Vol.$789k Liq.19Ends in 7 months
61%
Eric Swalwell
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$15k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$15k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
L
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
$788k Vol.
$123k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$788k Vol.$123k Liq.Ends in 2 months
49%
Nithya Raman
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$75k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$75k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
34%
Yes
C
92%
Democratic Party
C
87%
Republican Party
C
72%
Democratic Party
C
89%
Democratic Party
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Kamala Harris
P
Donald Trump
P
Donald Trump
D
Kamala Harris