Gerrymander Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$230k Vol.
$26k Liq.
6
Ends in 21 days
$230k Vol.$26k Liq.6Ends in 21 days
85%
Yes
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$403 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$403 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$91k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$91k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
2
19%
115-120m
S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$19k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$19k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
O
93%
Democratic Party
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$416k Liq.
141
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$416k Liq.141Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
O
93%
Democratic Party
R
27%
≤47
I
91%
Republican Party
A
91%
Republican Party
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$41k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$41k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
33%
22–23
I
91%
Democratic Party
O
91%
Democratic Party
O
75%
Democratic Party
C
66%
Republican Party