Gerrymander Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$27k Liq.
5
Ends in 22 days
$229k Vol.$27k Liq.5Ends in 22 days
82%
Yes
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$645 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$645 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$134k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$134k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
19%
115-120m
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$507k Liq.
138
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$507k Liq.138Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
93%
Democratic Party
27%
≤47
91%
Republican Party
91%
Republican Party
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$65k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$65k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
33%
24–25
91%
Democratic Party
76%
Democratic Party
64%
Republican Party