Gpt Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 17 days

63%

April 17

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$598 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

9%

Yes

W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$333k Vol.
$117k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months

49%

Anthropic

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

$24k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

42%

None in 2026

O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

55%

Yes

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$361k Vol.
$38k Liq.
40
Ended

82%

December 31, 2026

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k Vol.
$18k Liq.
5

94%

June 30

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k Vol.
$980 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

56%

60%+

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

47%

Yes

W
What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
796
Ends in 4 months

91%

Drake releases Iceman

W
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$3.0m Vol.
$386k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months

61%

Anthropic

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended

37%

December 31, 2026

W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$482k Vol.
$182k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months

44%

Anthropic

G
GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$208k Vol.
$105k Liq.
3
Ends in almost 2 years

89%

$50M

W
WTT - Men's Singles: Benedikt Duda vs Thibault Poret

Sports · Games

WTT - Men's Singles: Benedikt Duda vs Thibault Poret

$0 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in 8 days

50%

Duda

W
WTT - Women's Singles: Prithika Pavade vs Maylis Giret

Sports · Games

WTT - Women's Singles: Prithika Pavade vs Maylis Giret

$0 Vol.
$11 Liq.
Ends in 7 days

49%

Pavade

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$820 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

50%

160-179

W
Will GRVT launch a token by ___?

Will GRVT launch a token by ___?

$28k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

91%

September 30, 2026