Hack Predictions & Odds

Politics·Iran

Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?

$21k Vol.

$0 Liq.

3

Ended

No

Crypto·Bybit Hack

Another crypto hack over $1b before April?

$56k Vol.

$0 Liq.

4

Ended

No

Geopolitics·hack

archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

$123k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

No

Politics·hack

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

$1.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

141

Ended

February 28

Culture·hack

Critical Discord Incident by...?

$12k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

March 31

Geopolitics·Iran

US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?

$101k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

No

All

Will the Euler hack victims get any money back?

$49k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

Yes

Tech·outage

Facebook outage caused by hack?

$15k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No

All

Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack?

$14k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

No

Culture · Tech

June 12 internet outages caused by a hack?

$14k Vol.

$0 Liq.

8

Ended

No

Crypto

Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?

$124k Vol.

$0 Liq.

19

Ended

Yes

Politics

Will the US confirm SSN hack in August?

$40k Vol.

$0 Liq.

7

Ended

No

iberia · Portugal

Spain power outage caused by hack?

$223k Vol.

$0 Liq.

10

Ended

No

CrowdStrike

CrowdStrike caused by a hack?

$210k Vol.

$0 Liq.

-1

Ended

No

Politics·Hurricanes

Did Biden campaign use info from Iran hack?

$33k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No

Crypto·Bybit Hack

Will Bybit hacker return stolen ETH by next Friday?

$277k Vol.

$0 Liq.

21

Ended

No

Tech·Iran

Iran behind June 12 internet outages?

$53k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

No

World·Middle East

Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?

$38k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No

All

Baltimore Bridge ship hacked?

$7k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No

Politics·Israel

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

$17.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

4,582

Ended

Yes

Hack Predictions & Odds· 194 markets

Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?

Another crypto hack over $1b before April?

archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Critical Discord Incident by...?

US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?

Will the Euler hack victims get any money back?

Facebook outage caused by hack?

Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack?

June 12 internet outages caused by a hack?

Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?

Will the US confirm SSN hack in August?

Spain power outage caused by hack?

CrowdStrike caused by a hack?

Did Biden campaign use info from Iran hack?

Will Bybit hacker return stolen ETH by next Friday?

Iran behind June 12 internet outages?

Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?

Baltimore Bridge ship hacked?

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

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