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Jobs Report Predictions & Odds· 141 markets

AllPoliticsTrumpFedU.S. PoliticsFed RatesEconomyPowellBlsTrump PresidencyGov ShutdownJerome PowellMacro IndicatorsJobs ReportNFPNonfarm Payroll
H
How many jobs added in November?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobs added in November?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

50k–75k

H
How many jobs added in February?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobs added in February?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

<25k

H
How many jobs added in January?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobs added in January?

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

>125k

H
How many jobs added in December?

Economy·Jobs Report

How many jobs added in December?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

50k–75k

H
How many jobs added in September?

Economy·Jobs Report

How many jobs added in September?

$393k Vol.
$0 Liq.
44
Ended

0-25k

H
How many jobs added in August?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobs added in August?

$342k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

<50k

A
August jobs report prints negative?

Economy·Macro Indicators

August jobs report prints negative?

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

J
January Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

January Unemployment Rate

$101k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

4.3%

D
December Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

December Unemployment Rate

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

≤4.4%

N
November Unemployment Rate

Economy·Jobs Report

November Unemployment Rate

$182k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

≥4.6%

S
September Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

September Unemployment Rate

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

4.3%

A
August Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

August Unemployment Rate

$206k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

4.3%

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

September meeting

F
Fed decision in September?

Economy·All

Fed decision in September?

$220.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,518
Ended

25 bps decrease

N
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

Trump · bls

Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

$98k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

N
Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?

bls · Trump

Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?

$73k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

No

J
June jobs report prints negative?

Economy·Macro Indicators

June jobs report prints negative?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

J
July jobs report prints negative?

Economy·Macro Indicators

July jobs report prints negative?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?

Politics·Trump

Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

T
Trump cuts 80k+ VA workers before May?

Politics·Trump

Trump cuts 80k+ VA workers before May?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No