Leabnon Predictions & Odds· 138 markets
I
98%
March 31
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$6k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$6k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 30 days
96%
April 1
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
$213k Vol.
$101k Liq.
14
Ends in 2 months
$213k Vol.$101k Liq.14Ends in 2 months
14%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
J
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
$16 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
I
56%
March 31
I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$145k Vol.
$19k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
$145k Vol.$19k Liq.21Ends in 3 months
63%
Yes
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$72k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days
$72k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 30 days
4%
April 30
I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$33k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 30 days
74%
April 2
U
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 30 days
11%
Yes
H
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.5m Vol.
$3k Liq.
🔥$75k today
1
Ended
$2.5m Vol.🔥$75k today$3k Liq.1Ended
91%
Yes
I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.7m Vol.
$175k Liq.
🔥$65k today
1
Ended
$3.7m Vol.🔥$65k today$175k Liq.1Ended
98%
Bahrain
I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$187k Vol.
$173k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$187k Vol.$173k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
99%
Bahrain
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
$341k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ended
$341k Vol.$19k Liq.Ended
84%
3
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$347k Vol.
$49k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$347k Vol.$49k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
$20k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$20k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 30 days
46%
3
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$393k Vol.
$13k Liq.
18
Ended
$393k Vol.$13k Liq.18Ended
50%
June 30, 2026
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$389k Vol.
$44k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$389k Vol.$44k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30