Leabnon Predictions & Odds· 138 markets

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$3.6m Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$3.6m Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
96%
March 31

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$4k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
96%
April 2

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
$213k Vol.
$117k Liq.
13
Ends in 2 months
$213k Vol.$117k Liq.13Ends in 2 months
14%
Lebanese Forces (LF)

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
$16 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$134k Vol.
$27k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$27k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
66%
Yes

Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$128k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$128k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
96%
March 24

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
$142k Vol.
$13k Liq.
15
Ends in about 7 hours
$142k Vol.$13k Liq.15Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$72k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$72k Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
5%
April 30

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$874k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
29%
December 31

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes

Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
72%
April 1

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$480k today
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$2.5m Vol.🔥$480k today$19k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
93%
March 30

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$190k Liq.
🔥$209k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$209k today$190k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
98%
Bahrain

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$167k Vol.
$192k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$167k Vol.$192k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
97%
Bahrain

How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
$17k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$55k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
46%
≥4

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
$330k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$330k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
74%
3

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$48k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$48k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$337k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$337k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in 9 months
29%
Somaliland

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$390k Vol.
$12k Liq.
17
Ends in about 7 hours
$390k Vol.$12k Liq.17Ends in about 7 hours
4%
Yes