Leadership Changes Predictions & Odds· 135 markets

Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15?

harvard · education

Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Yes

Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?

harvard · education

Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April?

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY?

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY?

$80k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

Yes

Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?

Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May?

Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?

EPL · Sports

Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

EPL · Sports

Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Mauricio Pochettino

Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?

Business

Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No announcement in 2024

Any Hamas leader out in January?

Any Hamas leader out in January?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

No

Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?

Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No

Katherine Maher out as NPR CEO in April?

All · Business

Katherine Maher out as NPR CEO in April?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition

$919k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended

Yes

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

$133k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

Avi Lewis

Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

All

Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

$139k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Vince Fong

First leader out of power in 2025?

Politics · Geopolitics

First leader out of power in 2025?

$64.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

Ishiba - Japan PM

Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

$802k Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended

No

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$11.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months

Schoof - Netherlands PM