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Leadership Predictions & Odds· 188 markets

AllPoliticsGazaIranBusinessTrumpElectionsHamasMiddle EastIsraelPope FrancisReligionCatholic ChurchCanadaSam AltmanAyatollah KhameneiLeadershipWorld AffairsAIOpenAICeoEmmett ShearMohamed DeifHaniyehUkState Of The UnionGlobal ElectionsGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyGov ShutdownSOTUWorldICEKhameneiAli KhameneiDHSState Of UnionReza PahlaviIran Regime
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

Politics·haniyeh

Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

Any Hamas leader out in January?

Politics·All

Any Hamas leader out in January?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

No

Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?

OpenAI · ceo

Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?

$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended

No

OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?

OpenAI · ceo

OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?

OpenAI · ceo

Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?

$381k Vol.
$0 Liq.
28
Ended

Yes

Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?

Politics·ayatollah khamenei

Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30?

Politics·pope francis

Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Politics·Canada

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

$133k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

Avi Lewis

Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

Politics·hamas

Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

UK Labour Party Deputy Leadership Election Winner

Elections·uk

UK Labour Party Deputy Leadership Election Winner

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Lucy Powell

Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

$802k Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended

No

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

$11.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will FTX relaunch by June 30?

All

Will FTX relaunch by June 30?

$111k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

All

Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

$190k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Who will replace Boris Johnson?

All

Who will replace Boris Johnson?

$227k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?

All

Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will the State of the Union address be delayed?

Politics·Trump

Will the State of the Union address be delayed?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

Politics·DHS

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

Geopolitics·Middle East

US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

$384k Vol.
$0 Liq.
61
Ends in about 13 hours

No

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Politics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

$5.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
210
Ends in 9 months

No