Leadership Predictions & Odds· 249 markets
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$217k Liq.
🔥$135k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$135k today$217k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
50%
December 31
Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?
$44k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$44k Vol.$17k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
40%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.2m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$58.2m Vol.🔥$4.1m today$2.5m Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$511k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.8m Vol.🔥$511k today$1.4m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.0m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.0m Vol.🔥$287k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$249k Liq.
🔥$184k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$184k today$249k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$413k Vol.
$30k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$413k Vol.$30k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
83%
Yes
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$19k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$19k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$90k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$90k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Next President of Vietnam
$27.4m Vol.
$466k Liq.
🔥$429k today
236
Ended
$27.4m Vol.🔥$429k today$466k Liq.236Ended
94%
Tô Lâm
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
$17.3m Vol.
$67k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$17.3m Vol.$67k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
69%
Caesars Entertainment
34%
Yes
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$874k Vol.$75k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
28%
December 31
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
$1.6m Vol.
$26k Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
$1.6m Vol.$26k Liq.155Ends in 3 months
24%
June 30, 2026
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
14%
Yes
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes