Leadership Predictions & Odds· 157 markets
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
38%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$211k Liq.
🔥$126k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$126k today$211k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31
Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?
$45k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$45k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.5m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$58.5m Vol.🔥$4.2m today$2.5m Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$646k today
4
Ends in 3 months
$22.9m Vol.🔥$646k today$1.5m Liq.4Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$409k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.1m Vol.🔥$409k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$172k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$172k today$253k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$417k Vol.
$28k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$417k Vol.$28k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
85%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$88k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$88k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$19k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$19k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Next President of Vietnam
$27.5m Vol.
$472k Liq.
🔥$517k today
237
Ended
$27.5m Vol.🔥$517k today$472k Liq.237Ended
93%
Tô Lâm
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
$17.3m Vol.
$67k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$17.3m Vol.$67k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
69%
Caesars Entertainment
35%
Yes
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
$1.6m Vol.
$27k Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
$1.6m Vol.$27k Liq.156Ends in 3 months
25%
June 30, 2026
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$874k Vol.$76k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
29%
December 31
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
14%
Yes
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?
$52k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$52k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes