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Leadership Predictions & Odds· 194 markets

AllPoliticsGazaIranBusinessTrumpElectionsHamasMiddle EastIsraelPope FrancisReligionCatholic ChurchCanadaSam AltmanAyatollah KhameneiLeadershipWorld AffairsAIOpenAICeoEmmett ShearMohamed DeifHaniyehUkState Of The UnionGlobal ElectionsGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyGov ShutdownSOTUWorldICEKhameneiAli KhameneiDHSState Of UnionReza PahlaviIran Regime
H
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

Politics·haniyeh

Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

A
Any Hamas leader out in January?

Politics·All

Any Hamas leader out in January?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

No

E
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?

OpenAI · ceo

Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?

$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended

No

O
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?

OpenAI · ceo

OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

S
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?

OpenAI · ceo

Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?

$381k Vol.
$0 Liq.
28
Ended

Yes

W
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?

Politics·ayatollah khamenei

Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

W
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30?

Politics·pope francis

Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

M
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

Politics·hamas

Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

C
Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Politics·Canada

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

$133k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

Avi Lewis

U
UK Labour Party Deputy Leadership Election Winner

Elections·uk

UK Labour Party Deputy Leadership Election Winner

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Lucy Powell

H
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

$802k Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended

No

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

$11.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Politics·Israel

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$63.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

W
Will FTX relaunch by June 30?

All

Will FTX relaunch by June 30?

$111k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

All

Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

$190k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will replace Boris Johnson?

All

Who will replace Boris Johnson?

$227k Vol.
$0 Liq.
W
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?

All

Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the State of the Union address be delayed?

Politics·Trump

Will the State of the Union address be delayed?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

I
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

Politics·DHS

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

U
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

Geopolitics·Middle East

US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

$384k Vol.
$0 Liq.
61
Ended

No